The Minnesota Vikings entered the season hoping to continue where they left off last season. But it hasn’t entirely gone as planned. Kirk Cousins has played well, and the passing game has been fantastic so far this season. But they have struggled to establish a running game.
Not having Dalvin Cook has hurt. But when he was healthy, he wasn’t doing well. The run game finally woke up last week against the Cardinals (195 yards; Latavius Murray had 155). But the Cardinals also have one of the worse run defences in the league.
It will be a little harder to run against the Jets, but not too much. Teams are averaging over 100 yards a game against them (108.7; 17th).
But what will be hard to figure out in this game is what version of the Jets shows up. They have been a tremendous running team, have had an efficient passing game, and have struggled in others. But when you have a rookie quarterback, that is the risk you run. Sam Darnold has had some great moments, but he has also had some bad ones.
Minnesota’s defence is starting to play better, but they have had injury issues as well.
So—who’s going to win?
Darnold will have some good and bad moments. But with little to no help from his running game, he’ll have more bad ones than good as the game goes on. What will start out as a competitive game will turn into a beating by the time it is over.
Take Minnesota (-180) to win over the Jets (+150) and cover the spread (3). As for the over/under—take the over (47).