This is a game that analysts love because there is so much that could be talked about with this one. In Hamilton, you have one of the most potent offences in the league lead by one of the best quarterbacks in the league, Jeremiah Masoli. But with the BC Lions, you have a team playing lights out defence right now.
They say offence wins games and defence wins championships. So, does that mean Hamilton has the edge in this game?
Not necessarily, but Hamilton probably does have an edge with BC’s starting pivot, Travis Lulay, out due to a dislocated shoulder. Jonathan Jennings played well enough last week for the team to secure a win over Montreal. But most of the work was done by the defence. Jennings just needed not to lose the game for them.
There is a distinct possibility the same scenario could play out this week. Almost Hamilton’s entire offence depends on what Masoli is able to do, either through the air or on the ground. Disrupt his game and keep him off balance and BC has a chance. They’ll still need to get a decent day out of Jennings.
But the key to victory will be slowing down Masoli—a lot like Calgary did a couple of weeks ago.
So—who’s going to win?
As tempting as it is to think the BC defence is up to the task, I can’t say I have confidence that their offence will follow suit. The Lions defence will make Masoli work for it, but in the end, the Ticats will come out ahead.
Take Hamilton to win (-130) over BC (+110) and cover the spread (-2.5 points). Don’t count on this being a high scoring affair and take the under (50.5).