The Colts are not going to be able to run against the Texans. But when they can throw against them as well as they do, you have to wonder why they would even bother. In their two regular season games, the Colts ran for just 91 yards. But he also threw for 464 in one and 399 in the other.
The Texans defense struggled against the Colts, Jets, and Eagles passing games in three of the last four weeks of the regular season.
Houston is going to need to run the ball and keep Deshaun Watson upright as much as possible. They are capable of developing a good run game. But Lamar Miller is hard to rely on, and the more Watson runs means, the more he gets hit.
In two games versus the Colts, he was sacked 12 times and hit another 19.
Spread: Texans by 2
Houston’s defense can’t be trusted to stop Andrew Luck and the Colts passing game. So, they will need the run game to get on track early in order to keep Luck off the field. But with how well the Colts defense has played the last couple of months, it is hard to imagine Houston having enough success.
Don’t expect the Texans to cover the spread.
Houston doesn’t score a lot. While the Colts can run up the score, the Texans defense will make sure they don’t run it up too much. Take the under.
Money line: Texans -131.58; Colts +110.00
It will be an entertaining and competitive game but one the Colts will win in the end.
*Odds via Bet365