Winnipeg knew they had to get their offence on track to have a chance against Saskatchewan. It was especially important that they get their run game going. If they could get the CFL’s leading rusher, Andrew Harris, on track against the second-best run defence in the league, they had a chance.
Harris ended up having a banner day with 158 yards (103 of which came in the first half). But the passing game was awful. After taking a 17-14 lead into the half, they couldn’t move the ball in the second. Saskatchewan took over the game, outscored Winnipeg 17-6 in the half to make the final what it was (31-23).
For a half, it looked like the Blue Bombers were going to get the job done on both sides of the ball. But then things fell apart. The Winnipeg defence made Zach Collaros look like a decent quarterback (18-30 for 250 yards). Their own pivot, Matt Nichols, had another forgettable day (14-26 for 166 yards and two interceptions).
If the lackluster performance on offence were an isolated thing, then it would be easier to get behind the Blue Bombers. But Nichols has been struggling for weeks; he just came off the rails last week. Getting Harris on track again would help. But it is unlikely the Roughriders defence makes the same mistakes two weeks in a row.
Take the Roughriders to win (+150.00). Winnipeg’s offence can’t be trusted to pull out a win (-181.82) against a good defence. Look for Saskatchewan to cover the spread (-3.5 points) as well. It is hard to say how much offence Winnipeg will contribute, so go with the under (53.5 points).