NBA fans in Indiana could be in for a real treat Wednesday night. It will be their last regular season meeting with the Toronto Raptors, and the stage is set for them to get the win this time (Toronto won the previous two; both in Toronto).
Indiana hasn’t beaten the Raptors in Toronto since 2013—so, it is a good thing this one is at home rather than north of the border. The Raptors will also be without Kawhi Leonard for the fourth consecutive game; he isn’t injured. They are just giving him rest.
But the Raptors have been doing fine without Leonard in their last three (all wins). A different player has led the team in scoring in each game, and at least five have scored in double figures in all three.
Indiana will come into the game having not played since Sunday. So, they will undoubtedly be well-rested. They have won their last two by double digits and are 6-3 in the month of January with losses coming against Philadelphia, Boston, and Toronto.
While they have been playing well, they do seem to be struggling when they face better teams.
So—who’s going to win?
Indiana has played Toronto much better at home than on the road. Not having to face Kawhi Leonard will help. But the Pacers will still need to up their defensive game to take care of Kyle Lowry, Serge Ibaka, and Pascal Siakam.
In the end, look for Indiana to win this one, straight up and against the spread—but not by much. As for the over/under—these two covered the over in both previous games and should do so again.