This matchup is exactly what you ask for when it comes to the conference championship games—two of the best offences going head to head. Who is going to outscore who? Which defence is going to be able to step up and make the big play in the clutch?
From an offensive standpoint, it is hard to say either team has a distinct advantage. Both have stellar running games, the Saints with Alvin Kamara and Mark Ingram and the Rams with Todd Gurley (C.J. Anderson’s role will likely be a lot smaller in this game).
Drew Brees is one of the best to ever play. But Jared Goff is one of the best up-and-coming quarterbacks. Brees has the best receiver in Michael Thomas, but Goff has the better group (Robert Woods, Brandin Cooks, Josh Reynolds, and Sammy Watkins).
The Saints may have the only real advantage because of their run defence. That is not to say the Rams have a bad run defence because they did a great job against Ezekiel Elliot last week, but that performance was more the exception than the rule.
But neither has a great secondary, so both offences are going to look to throw the ball 4o+ times anyway.
So—who’s going to win?
When these two met back in Week Nine, the passing game ruled the day with both QB’s throwing for well over 300 yards. But in the end, it was the Saints defence that made the clutch plays in the end.
This game will look similar—lots of offence and lots of scoring. Look for the outcome to be similar as well. So, take the Saints to win (-175.44) over the Rams (+155.00), straight up and against the spread (Saints by 3.5).
As for the over/under— take the over (56.5).
*Odds via Bet365