Spread: Broncos by 5.5
Money line: Raiders +210; Broncos -260
Case Keenum’s debut may not have been as pretty as Denver fans had hoped it would be, but it was effective. But some pitfalls and mistakes were to be expected in his first real game with a new team. Timing can be practiced all day long, but until it is worked on live and in-game—you’ll never know how good it is.
But he and his receivers will continue to get on the same page as the season goes on. If the Broncos can continue to run the ball, (146 yards against Seattle), the process may not take too long.
Jon Gruden, on the other hand, may need some additional time to get his groove back. While the Raiders looked good in the first half against the Rams, they failed to make any adjustments in the second. There were times where Derek Carr almost looked confused.
Carr did throw for 300+ yards and was only sacked once. But he failed to record a passing touchdown and had three interceptions (including one pick-6).
The big issues the Raiders had against the Rams fall on the head coach. The Raiders played well in the first half when they were prepared. But in the second half—not so much because Gruden didn’t do his job.
He’ll have a better game against the Broncos. There will probably be some improvement this week, but not enough to pull out the win. Take Denver to win and cover the spread. These two have the potential to hit the over this week, but I’d recommend taking the under instead.