Oleksandr “The Nail” Gvozdyk (16-0) fights Doudou Ngumbu (38-8) in the first defence of his WBC World Light-Heavyweight title at the 2300 Arena in Philadelphia on Saturday night.
The 31 year-old Ukrainian Gvozdyk was a 2012 Olympic bronze medalist as an amateur. He won the WBC World Light-Heavyweight title in Quebec City in December when, despite being behind on two of the three judges’ scorecards, he delivered an 11th round KO to champion Adonis “Superman” Stevenson. Haitian Canadian Stevenson, who reigned as champion for 5½ years, suffered a severe brain injury as a result and remains hospitalized.
The undefeated Gvozdyk has recorded 13 KOs in his 16 fights to date, although it’s worth noting that Ngumbu has only lost once in his career to a KO.
The 37 year-old Congolese-born French national Ngumbu (38-8, 14 KOs) caused a major upset when outpointing unbeaten Yoann Kongolo last May. The result is that he finally gets an opportunity to fight for a major world title against Gvozdyk.
Ngumbu doesn’t possess the punching power of Gvozdyk, having only recorded 14 KOs in his 46 fight career.
Oleksandr Gvozdyk vs Doudou Ngumbu Betting Lines
The Fight Result betting odds has Gvozdyk as a red hot favourite to win at -4100 with Sportingbet. The betting line on Ngumbu is +1800 with bet365 and if for some reason you anticipate a draw, you can get +3300 with William Hill.
With regards to boxing predictions, there won’t be many who truly believe that Ngumbu has a meaningful chance of winning this fight. Then again, nobody’s going to get rich putting their money on Gvozdyk at boxing odds that provide no value whatsoever.
However, the value bet could be in backing Gvozdyk to win by Decision or Technical Decision in the ‘Method of Victory’ market against the durable Ngumbu. This outcome is priced at +250 with bet365.
Pick: Method of Victory – Oleksandr Gvozdyk by Decision or Technical Decision at +250 (bet365)