With how the Dallas Cowboys played last week against the Seattle Seahawks (and a few weeks ago against the New Orleans Saints), it is not hard to imagine them pulling off the upset.
The defence is going to have to shut down Todd Gurley, of course. They did keep the No. 1 rushing game in check last week, so they are capable of doing it. But to disrupt the Rams passing game, they will need to put pressure on Goff.
They were not good at putting pressure on QBs on the road this season.
Of course, the best defence against any team’s offence is your own offence. Dallas has one of the best running backs in the NFL and really shouldn’t have any trouble running through the Rams 23rd ranked run defence.
Of course, the Rams will likely try a similar approach with their third-ranked running game. But the Dallas defence has been tough against the run so they may find it difficult to get Gurley on track.
So—who’s going to win?
Assuming Dallas plays like they did last week (and against the Saints), fans will have a good game on their hands. The Rams will struggle to run the ball but will find some space in the passing game. But with Ezekiel Elliot leading the charge, the Cowboys will own the time of possession.
Take the Cowboys to win this one, straight up and against the spread. Dallas has what it takes to exploit the Rams weaknesses and will do so. But the Rams are too good for this not to be a close game.
- Spread: Patriots by 4
- Over/Under: 45.5
- Money line: Chargers +165; Patriots -205
As for the over/under—take the under.