A few weeks ago, this one looked like an easy game to call. The Lions were generating enough offence to win games, and their defence was playing well. After getting clobbered by Hamilton back in Week 16 (40-10), they beat Toronto, took down Calgary, and beat Edmonton.
But then they looked lacklustre against the Roughriders and got shutout in the first half against Calgary (before they started resting guys).
Travis Lulay is a decent pivot but to take down Hamilton (who has one of the better pass defences in the CFL), he will need to be better than ‘decent.’ Of course, if their defence can live up to their reputation, Lulay’s game may not be an issue.
The Lions enter the game as one of the more aggressive defences in the league with 45 sacks and 21 interceptions. Since the Tiger-Cats pretty much rely on what offence Jeremiah Masoli can generate, if they can disrupt him, that may be all they need to win the game.
BC recorded five sacks against Hamilton back in Week 15 and won a close one, 35-32. But the following week it was Hamilton that had six to one for the Lions. The Ticats won that one with ease, 40-10.
So—who’s going to win?
Masoli had been struggling the last few weeks of the season. But if they can run the ball, maybe they can slow down the Lions pass rush. Hamilton was one of the better running teams during the regular season (110.6 yards a game) while the Lions were not good at defending against it.
Take the Tiger-Cats (Tiger-Cats -137) to win over the Lions (+123) and cover the spread (3). As for the over/under—take the under (52).