This is not a game the BC Lions want to have at this point in the season. With the Stampeders still trying to lock down the West Division, it is unlikely Calgary will take it easy on them or rest anyone. Even if they had their regular starting pivot, Travis Lulay, in the game, this one would be tough.
With his back-up, Jonathon Jennings, running the offence, they may be outgunned in a game they need to win.
BC currently sits in a tie with Edmonton for last in the West. But whoever finishes in fourth will make the playoffs as a crossover team that will play in the East Division bracket. Edmonton has a challenging matchup of their own, but Calgary has been the class of the league this season.
The Lions will likely try to do what has worked several times this season ride their defence to victory. Montreal showed last week that Calgary pivot Bo Levi Mitchell is fallible by forcing three interceptions and holding him to just 199 yards passing.
They will need their league-best pass rush (37 sacks) to be at their best. But they will have their work cut out for them against Calgary’s offensive line; they’ve given up just 19 sacks all season.
But to expect Jonathan Jennings to lead the way to victory would be unfair. BC’s defence will have to win the day.
So—who’s going to win?
It’s fun to see a team desperate for a win get one against the odds. But the odds are too great here. Take Calgary (-600) to win over the Lions (+450) and to cover the spread (10.5). As for the over/under—go under.