Spread: Titans by 3.5
Money line: Jaguars +183; Titans -222
If you are looking for offensive fireworks, then this is not the game for you. The last time these two met back in Week Three, the final was 9-6. But Marcos Mariota didn’t start that game (he came on in relief), and Blake Bortles did.
This time, however, it will be Cody Kessler. He wasn’t terrible against the Colts, but he wasn’t good either. To be fair, he did not have Leonard Fournette (he was serving a one-game suspension) in the backfield to help take some pressure off.
Kessler should be better this week and will benefit from having Fournette back. But the Titans defence (sixth in points allowed; 20.3 per game) is tougher than the Colts (18th in points allowed; 24.8 per game). So, he may have more help this week but will find it even tougher to gain yards.
Mariota was able to come off the bench and be the hero last time, but the Jaguars defence appears to be back to its dominant ways (if last week is any indication). They will not make it nearly as easy on him this time.
So—who’s going to win?
It all depends on who you have more faith in— Marcos Mariota or the Jaguars defence. Mariota is the more reliable but far from a perfect choice. The Jags defence is the high-risk, high-reward option. If they play as well as they can, Jacksonville wins. But they have rarely played well this season
For that reason, take the Titans to win over the Jaguars, straight up and against the spread. As for the over/under– take the under.