Spread: Jaguars by 3
Money Line: Jaguars -145; Cowboys +125
The Cowboys and Jaguars are pretty similar this year. They appear to have top-notch defences capable of stopping the best offences. But they can’t seem to establish much of an identity on offence.
Jacksonville has not had Leonard Fournette much this season, but that hasn’t mattered a whole lot. Blake Bortles has been able to make use of one of the best groups of wide receivers in the NFL. But the Jags have become champs at shooting themselves in the foot. They lead the league in turnovers (12; seven interceptions and five fumbles).
Dallas, on the other hand, has learned the hard way how valuable a No. 1 wide receiver is now that they don’t have one. The passing game has suffered making it easier for defences to load the box against Ezekiel Elliot. He is still the leading rusher in the NFL anyway (through Week 5).
But will he be enough for the Cowboys to win? Or will Blake Bortles lead the Jaguars to victory?
Both teams are going to try to do what they do best from the onset— play defence. Offensively, the Cowboys will try their best to run the ball down the Jags throats with a moderate amount of success. Jacksonville, however, is going to struggle to find their offence early on.
Once Dallas builds enough of a lead, they’ll abandon the run and focus on the passing game. But they will not be able to overcome their own mistakes yet again.
Take Dallas to win; if they don’t, they will cover the spread. The over/under for this one is the easiest bet of the season—take the under.