Italian Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Odds - Formula One Preview

Belgian Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Odds - Formula One Preview

Italian Grand Prix Predictions & Betting Odds - Formula One Preview

Written by Darren Moore
September 7, 2019
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Racing Point came away from Spa Francorchamps with a double-points finish last weekend. Our main pick Sergio Perez never looked in doubt for his top-ten finish and cantered to an impressive sixth place.

Canada’s Lance Stroll was far luckier to pinch the final world championship point for tenth though.

Max Verstappen would have unquestionably finished in the top-10 if he had not have retired on the opening lap with broken steering (most probably would have finished within the top-5) and Lando Norris was in a comfortable fifth position before retiring with an engine issue on the final lap.

Italian Grand Prix - Winner

Just One Points Finish for Racing Point in Monza?

With the results from Spa always translating well to this Sunday’s race in Monza, Italy – both being high-speed circuits with long straights – we are confident Sergio Perez will take another top-10 finish (at even-money +100 / 2.00) with bet365) but we suspect Lance Stroll will miss out this time. And that’s something you can bet on – him NOT making the points – on race day.

Take third or fourth to be first

bet365 are also offering Monza F1 betting odds on the grid position of the eventual race winner and its -150 (1.67) about the pole setter prevailing, +225 (3.25) about the second car winning and +550 (6.50) about either the third or fourth placed cars winning.

On three occasions the third placed car on the grid has won this season and while that statistic makes the +550 (6.50) look attractive, it is not the reason for us selecting it. 

In Spa the Ferraris were mighty in qualifying starting 1-2 but their race configuration was nowhere near as dominant. In fact Lewis Hamilton, who started third, could have easily have won the race with some luck or without being hampered by Sebastian Vettel. Vettel, driving for Ferrari, who started second but only finished in fourth.

Italian Grand Prix Betting Predictions 

Underlining once again how similar the Monza race circuit is to Spa, it’s easy to predict that both Mercedes cars starting on the second row of the grid on Sunday and if that happens it’s never odds of +550 (6.50) about either one of them winning, particularly Lewis Hamilton, chasing down the red cars to take advantage late in the race.

Recommended F1 Monza Bets

  • Points Finish: Sergio Perez at +100 (2.00) with bet365
  • Grid Position of the Winner: Third or Fourth at +550 (6.50) with bet365

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