The Finns were top of Group A going into their final qualifying match against Germany, but lost 4-2 to be overtaken for first place by Canada. As a consequence, instead of a last eight tie against a Switzerland team on a three-game losing streak, they now have to face their Nordic rivals and two-time defending champions, Sweden.
The Swedes themselves finished third in Group B, having lost their opening game 5-2 to the Czech Republic and their final game 7-4 to the Russians. In between they won all five of their games against their other group rivals.
Sweden vs Finland Head-To-Heads
Sweden have won the last two times these teams have met, 2-1 on the Euro Hockey Tour earlier this month and 3-1 in a friendly in late April. However, prior to those two games Finland had come out on top in six straight games against the Swedes.
Sweden were the highest scorers in the championship at the group stage, with 41 goals in their seven games to date. Finland have scored a far more modest 22 goals so far. In terms of the SG% Shot Percentage, Sweden stand at 15.13, while Finland are at 8.66. With goalkeeping SVS%, Finland have the edge with 92.90%, with Sweden at 87.72%.
On the Power Play % efficiency, Finland currently stand at 25%, while the Swedes register 32%. On Penalty Killing, Finland are at 83.33% and Sweden are again better at 90%.
On an individual basis, William Nylander is the highest points’ scorer in the tournament at present with 17, consisting of five goals and 12 assists.
Sweden vs Finland Betting Lines & Pick
This looks likely to be the hardest game to call in terms of IIHF bet predictions for the four quarter-finals, although Sweden are the favourites on the Sweden vs Finland betting lines with the online sportsbooks at -286 with bet365.
Finland are available at +260 with Betway Sports. Our tip here though is to back Finland +1.5 on the ‘Puck Line’ market at -125 over at bet365.