The Eskimos are coming off a bye week, so they will be rested and as healthy as can be at this time of the season. Ottawa has been struggling to get back on track in recent weeks but appeared to do so last week against Saskatchewan.
Can Mike Reilly and the Eskimos pick up where they left off? Or will the Ottawa defence come through once again for the Redblacks?
Reilly is coming off one of his best games of the season, a 397-yard, three touchdown game against Calgary (a 48-42 win). It was his seventh game with 300 or more yards passing and fifth with three or more touchdowns.
But as good as they are at throwing the ball, the Eskimos are not great at defending against the pass (278.2 yards/game allowed; only Montreal and Toronto allow more). So, if Ottawa pivot Trevor Harris can have another day similar to last week (27-34 or 334 yards and two touchdowns), they may pull off the upset.
So—who’s going to win?
Ottawa has to slow down Mike Reilly. If they can, they can win the game since everything goes through him. But I’m not confident they can. Yes, their defence is formidable. But so is Mike Reilly when he’s running the Eskimos offence.
Take the Eskimos to win (-150) over Ottawa (+130). I can see this being a good game but not too close. Edmonton will cover the spread (-3). With the offensive potential that will be on the field—take the over (54).