With the way the New York Jets burst out of the gate against the Detroit Lions in Week One, it looked like this could be a good year for them. It certainly looked like Sam Darnold could be in for a very good rookie season. But over the last three weeks, reality has set in.
Darnold hasn’t looked bad. But he has made some rookie mistakes an could certainly use a better overall roster around him. Defensively, the Jets are not bad. But any unit that is on the field more than it should be is going to falter at some point.
Denver, on the other hand, has had more of an up and down season. Case Keenum has looked great at times, but there have also been moments where he has struggled. He was able to lead the team on game-winning drives in Week One and Two but struggled against the Ravens.
But the real strength of the Broncos offence is its new-found rookie running game. Between Royce Freeman and Phillip Lindsay, the Broncos have the second-best running game in the NFL through Week Four.
So—who’s going to win?
Denver has the better overall team. The Jets offensive line is not bad, but it is hard to imagine them slowing down the Broncos pass rush much. While the Jets defence will likely get to Keenum a few times, Denver has too many weapons for the Jets to stop completely.
Take the Broncos to win (-105.26) over the Jets (-114.94). Why the Jets are favoured by one is somewhat of a mystery; they will not cover it. As for the over/under, I don’t trust the Jets to score enough for the over. Take the under (42.5).