When these two met back in Week Four, the Chiefs were undefeated and the hottest young team in the NFL. The Broncos were still trying to figure out what they had on offence while hoping their incredible defence kept them in the game.
Back in Week Four, it nearly worked. But the Broncos struggled to execute in the fourth quarter and let a 10-point lead slip away.
Since then, the Chiefs have fallen from the ranks of the unbeaten. But they are still one of the most exciting teams in the NFL. No one has been able to figure out how to contain Patrick Mahomes. After a slow start to the season, running back Kareem Hunt has been coming on strong.
Ever since running for 121 yards against Denver in Week Four, Hunt has rushed for at least 80 yards in each game. He’s also had 11 receptions for 167 yards and three touchdowns.
Denver is still struggling to establish an identity on offence. Case Keenum has had some moments in the passing game. But he hasn’t looked quite like the superstar the Vikings had last season. Their run game has looked promising at times, but they seem to have a hard time committing to it.
So—who’s going to win?
Denver is capable of beating the Chiefs. When they have committed to running the ball, they have run it well. They just don’t seem to be too concerned about establishing it. Were they to do so, effectively keeping Mahomes off the field, they could score the upset.
But they will not do so. Take the Chiefs (-600) to win over the Broncos (+425) but for Denver to win against the spread (Broncos, +10).
As for the over/under—take the over (55.5).