Fans were treated to some close games last week with Calgary being the only team to beat its opponent by more than one score (39-26 over the Winnipeg). The other three games were all won by a field goal or less: Hamilton beat Edmonton, 25-24; Montreal beat Toronto, 25-22; and Saskatchewan took down the BC Lions, 24-21.
While the games were exciting for fans, for gamblers, they were more frustrating than anything else. Regarding the over/under, all three were under. Calgary was the only team to cover the spread, and Toronto lost to the underdog Alouettes.
But the season rolls on into Week 12 with some more great matchups that should thrill and excite fans. There are some larger point spreads this week which means at least those games should be easier to call a winner. However, while it may be easier to figure out who’s going to win, will they cover the spread is a different matter altogether.
Fans looking for tips, predictions, or a preview of this weekend’s games, the following are write-ups on Sunday’s Winnipeg vs. Saskatchewan game along with Monday’s doubleheader, Edmonton vs. Calgary and Toronto vs. Hamilton.
Will the Blue Bombers get back on the right side of the scoreboard with a win over the RoughRiders? Or will the RoughRiders keep the win streak alive. Can the Eskimos down the mighty Stampeders or will it be another W for Calgary? Will Toronto have an answer for Jeremiah Masoli or will the Tiger-Cats QB have another banner day?
Winnipeg had a shot against Calgary last week and even led at the half. But they couldn’t finish drives (three field goals) and failed to make any adjustments at halftime. When you play a good team like the Stampeders, you can’t afford to make mistakes—like throwing an interception to a defensive lineman that returns it for a touchdown.
What Matt Nichols needs to get himself and the Winnipeg offense back on track is for Andrew Harris to have a big day. If the league’s leading rusher can have a big day, it would take a lot of pressure off Nichols to do it all.
However, the Roughriders have one of the toughest run defences in the league. That doesn’t mean he can’t have a big day—just that it’s unlikely. But if Winnipeg’s defence can handle the Saskatchewan offense, maybe the Blue Bombers can wear the RoughRiders defence down?
So—who’s going to win?
Saskatchewan has a good run game, but their passing game is the worst in the league. If you can’t pass in the CFL, how can you win games? Yes, defence can get the job done, but if the other team is good on both sides of the ball, you’re in trouble.
The oddsmakers are favoring Saskatchewan (-172.41), but I say go with Winnipeg (+145.00). The Blue Bombers are going to get their offense on track and pull out the win, so take them and the points. As for the over/under, I’m not confident the RoughRiders can hold up their end of the bargain. Go with the under.
Eskimos vs. Stampeders Match Preview & Betting Odds
This one has ‘barn burner’ written all over it. How else can you describe a game that has the best two quarterbacks in the league facing off? Mike Reilly had a quiet week against the Ticats last week with just 250 yards passing in the loss. But he still threw three touchdown passes. Bo Levi Mitchell threw a trio of touchdown passes as well, but also threw for 452 yards!
Both teams run the ball almost the same, so the winner of this one could be whoever scores last or stops the other from scoring first.
The Eskimos secondary is good, but they are going to have their hands full trying to slow down DaVaris Daniels, Marken Michel, and Kamar Jorden. But it will not be easy for the Calgary secondary to take Derel Walker and D’haquille Williams out of the game either.
They may be the second best secondary in the league. But they haven’t faced the most productive pivot in the league yet!
So—who’s going to win?
Edmonton has been playing down to their competition all season. So, I’m going to go out on a limb and say this time they play up to their competition. Expect both defenses to get torched all day long as fans enjoy an epic scoring extravaganza.
As much as I’d like to pick the Eskimos to win (+240.00), it is not hard to imagine Calgary’s secondary getting one more stop than Edmonton’s. Calgary will win (-312.50) but take Edmonton and the points (+7). Since this one is going to be a barn-burner, you’re safe going with the over (52.5).
Argonauts vs. Tiger-Cats Match Preview & Betting Odds
This one appears to be an easy one for the Ticats. They have the best offence in the league, one of the hottest quarterbacks, and the league’s best pass defence. Jeremiah Masoli is fresh off a 419-yard passing day against Edmonton last week and has been made passing for 300+yards look easy this season.
Toronto has been giving up 299 yards/game through the air this season. So, it is not hard to see Masoli having another big day.
But the Argonauts are not without hope. The best way to deal with a pivot like Masoli is to keep the ball out of his hands. They happen to have one of the top running backs in the league in James Wilder Jr. When he’s been given 15 or more carries, he’s done well this season. Since the Ticats happen to have the league’s worst run defense, Toronto is probably going to try to run early and often. Masoli can’t score if he isn’t on the field.
So—who’s going to win?
It is hard not to go with the Ticats (-357.14) on this one. McLeod Bethel-Thompson has played well in the three appearances he’s made. Even though he lost last week to Montreal, he still threw for over 290 yards (but only one touchdown).
If he can’t beat the team with the worst pass defence in the league, it is hard to imagine him beating the team with the best pass defence. Take the Ticats to win and cover the spread (+8). As for the over/under, while it is easy to see the Ticats putting up a lot of points, it is not so easy to see Toronto doing the same. Take the under.