Spread: Vikings by 16.5
Money Line: Bills +1000; Vikings -2000
There comes a time every season where a really good team fails to take a really bad one serious enough, and the bad one wins. Could this be that game this season?
Not likely—but possible.
It is only remotely possible if you think the success the Bills offense had in the second half last week is due to Josh Allen and not the Chargers taking it easy on them. They did look decent in their opening drive of the half (that ended with a touchdown). But then they looked pedestrian until their final drive of the game (which they scored on; 12 plays, 75 yards).
With Minnesota’s defense, even if the second half spark was legit for the Bills, that spark will be easily snuffed against the Vikings. But can the Bills slow Kirk Cousins and the Vikings down like they did the Chargers in the second half?
Obviously, you want to take the Vikings to win. But the spread is a little trickier. If you believe the Vikings will slack off and let the Bills back in it some late in the game, then take the Bills and the points. They could also run the ball a lot more to kill the clock (which will be great for Dalvin Cook’s fantasy value). But not the score.
However, they could also work some of the kinks out of the offence and run up the score. I’m betting they let the offence play and cover the spread. Since it is doubtful the Bills score a point, take the under.