While a pair of turnovers had a lot to do with the Bills blowing out the Vikings last weekend. But the Bills pretty much controlled the game from beginning to end. Does that mean they’ve turned a corner? Not necessarily.
The scores following the turnovers put the Vikings in need to pass and forced them to abandon the run. When any offense becomes one dimensional, it becomes easier to defend.
Josh Allen played well (overall) but can he play the same or better against the Packers?
A better question may be if the defense can slow down Aaron Rodgers enough to make a difference. The Bears did an excellent job for a half but then let Aaron Rodgers steal the win in the second in Week One. He has been good in Week 2 and 3, but he hasn’t been great.
It doesn’t help, of course, that the Packers still don’t have much of a run game they can count on. Teams have had success running and passing against the Packers defense. But is the Bills offense good enough to move the ball against them?
So—who’s going to win?
Green Bay is not playing fantastic football, but they do have Aaron Rodgers on their side. He can get them out of any deficit that might develop. While the Bills played better last week and beat a good team, most of the damage came due to turnovers.
If Aaron Rodgers plays a mistake-free game can the Bills win? No.
Don’t count on turnovers by the Packers. Take Green Bay to win (+330) over the Bills (-454.55). It’s tough to give ten points, but I’d hesitate to take the Packers despite the spread. As for the over/under—go with the under.