Ever since the Ravens decimated the Bills in Week One, it has been easy to write them off—and everyone has. Oddsmakers have made them massive underdogs, fans have bashed them, and experts laugh at the thought of picking them to win.
But they actually have won—twice and nearly won the third game last week. How? They have been a very opportunistic team. Thirty of the 53 points they have scored the last four weeks were set up by turnovers.
So, yes, their offence is not very good. But it hasn’t had to be.
Chances are good that the Colts will gift them with a few short fields this week as well. As a team, the Colts have committed 13 turnovers; 11 of them have been by quarterback Andrew Luck (eight interceptions and three fumbles).
The Bills have their struggles but so do the Colts. They got their franchise quarterback this year, but the result has been the same as it was last season without him. Yes, they are generating more offence despite a lack of talent at the skill positions. They are scoring points (25.3/game; 13th).
However, while the defence has improved, it still can’t stop anyone when it needs to.
So—who’s going to win?
This should be an easy one for the Colts, but the Bills defence is going to make them work for the few points they score. Buffalo will replace Peterman with Derek Anderson in the second half who will proceed to forget that he is supposed to be washed up.
Take the Bills (+275) to win over the Colts (-350). If they don’t win, they will at least cover the spread. As for the over/under—definitely take the under (43).