The ninth race of the 2019 Formula 1 season comes from Red Bull’s home circuit, the aptly named Red Bull Ring in Spielberg, Styria, Austria this weekend (28-30 June).
Drama in a Spielberg classic?
The circuit, around 120 miles south-west of Vienna, is in a beautiful picture-postcard setting and, a little known fact, movie director Steven Spielberg gets his last name from his descent from Hungarian Jews living in 17th-century Spielberg.
While it was a Red Bull car which won this race last season, the likelihood of either Max Verstappen or Pierre Gasly prevailing is considered ‘unlikely’ and it is priced-up accordingly. The reason for the opposition to the team is the undeniable strength of Mercedes. At all venues against all comers, they have simply dominated 2019 with Lewis Hamilton being particularly potent, winning six races and coming second in the two others. No wonder he is the -133.33 favourite with 888sport for this weekend’s race.
But the history books do indicate this is no slam-dunk. This Austrian GP race only re-joined the F1 betting racing calendar in 2014 with a new layout to the circuit and since then no driver has been dominant. Here’s how their form figures currently look…
- Sebastian Vettel: R-4-R-2-3
- Lewis Hamilton: 2-2-1-4-R
- Valtteri Bottas: 3-5-9-1-R
- Kimi Raikkonen: 10-R-3-5-2
- Max Verstappen: N/A-8-2-R-1
In short we would not discourage you from betting on an underdog at this circuit which is renowned for its fast sweeping corners, lack of slow bends and short race distance which saw just three cars finish the race on the lead lap in 2018 and relatively high retirement figures in 2018 (five), 2017 (four) and 2015 (six).
Nevertheless, for reasons only an F1 strategist can explain, the winning margins since 2014 have all been small. Four of the five revamped Austrian Grand Prix have been won by less than 3.4sec with 2016 being an exception – it was won by 5.7sec. That makes the headline bet 4 seconds or less Winning Margin which is available at odds of +110 with bet365.
McLaren On The Up
Our other Austrian GP prediction is for both the McLaren cars to finish within the points (AKA a top-10 finish for the team’s two cars) also at +110 with bet365. The famous team have been on a steep upward trajectory and performed with distinction in France last week.
In Summary – Austrian Grand Prix Predictions: